Low mortgage interest rates and a special tax credit for first time buyers are helping to offset a slight decline in existing home sales, according to a recent report by the National Association of Realtors (NAR). Housing analysts are predicting existing home sales volume of 4.57 million units for 2009.
According to Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, "The share of lower priced home sales has trended up, indicating a return of many first-time buyers, which we also see in a parallel member survey," he said. "Sales in the upper price ranges remain stalled because of higher interest rates on jumbo loans."

According to a March survey, 53 percent of all transactions were atributed to first-time buyers. “Buyer traffic has been rising, and real estate offices are getting phone inquires about the tax credit,” Yun said. “By early summer we should be seeing a positive impact on home sales from record-low mortgage interest rates in addition to the stimulus provisions.”
Freddie Mac reports that the average national commitment rate of 5.0 percent for a 30-year conventional fixed-rate mortgage.